New York Film Critics Circle Predictions

National Board of Review announces its winners on 12/3, but they are hard to predict and although their choices ultimately do matter (Slumdog won last year), I just can't get emotionally invested.

My predictions for the NYFCC awards, which happen the following week (12/10 I believe) follow:

Picture: A Serious Man seems like a very NY choice. I could also see Inglorious winning. It will not be Invictus, Precious, Up, Nine or The Lovely Bones.

Actress: NY went apeshit for Carey Mulligan in An Education. If it's not her, it will be some random totally outside the box person like Tilda Swinton (who have an amazing performance in the movie Julie released earlier this year).

Actor: Colin Firth in A Single Man. Jeff Bridges is winning the Oscar for Crazy Heart.

Supporting Actress: Monique, right? Although the NY critics are obsessed with their hometown darling Julianne Moore and I suspect they are gonna have a love affair with A Single Man (Best Debut Film, or whatever they call that category). The NYFCC doesn't like to be predictable and there will certainly be a Precious backlash sometime over the next few months. Anna Kendrick in Up in the Air also has a large fanbase. At this point, my favorite supporting actress of the year is Melanie Laurent in Inglorious Basterds.

Supporting Actor: Christop Wentz in Inglorious Basterds. I would bet $ on this.

Director: Kathryn Bigelow for The Hurt Locker. Would it be the first time a woman has won Best Director in NY? I believe so. This award could also go to Q.T.

Screenplay: A Serious Man or (500) Days of Summer

Cinematography: Going out on a limb with Nine. Inglorious and Bright Star are contenders as well.

David Krasner

krasner@the-mine.com