Saturday, November 29, 2008

Golden Globe Comedy/Musical Predix

Now that we are deep into November, the Oscar race is intensiying, and thus GOLDEN GLOBE fever is in the air.  The Drama nominations seem to be clarifying themselves, and I will go on record with some predictions shortly.  What really intrigues me right now is the dearth of competition in the comedy/musical category.  There are a couple of films they may choose to place in this category that really have no business there; Happy Go Lucky, Rachel Getting Married and Synecdoche, New York are not comedies, but all three are critical smashes and may find themselves in some surprise categories.  I'm not counting on that, so here's what the current crop looks like;

Best Picture (Comedy/Musical)
Sex and the City
Mamma Mia
Iron Man
Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Cadillac Records

Sex and the City and Mamma Mia seem definite here and I'd venture to say SEX will win.  Other nomination possibilities are Tropic Thunder, Burn After Reading and Wall-E (but seriously, if they are gonna nominate the Pixar film outside of animation, doesn't it qualify as a Drama?).  See what I mean?

Best Actress - Comedy or Musical
Sarah Jessica Parker in Sex and the City
Meryl Streep in Mamma Mia
Tina Fey in Baby Mama (seriously)
Emma Thompson in Last Chance Harvey
Scarlett Johannson in Vicky Cristina Barcelona 

Other scary ideas include Katherine Heigl for 27 Dresses, Kristen Bell for Forgetting Sarah Marshall, Beyonce for Cadillac Records, Anna Faris in House Bunny (she also deserves a career achievement award methinks).  Oh and the winner is Sarah Jessica Parker, whereby she becomes her Oscar nomination chances start becoming realistic.  How did this happen?

Best Actor in a Comedy or Musical
Ben Stiller in Tropic Thunder
Robert Downey, Jr. in Iron Man
Josh Brolin in W.
George Clooney in Burn After Reading
Philip Seymour Hoffman in Synecdoche, New York

Tricky.  Will Smith in Hancock? Adam Sandler in Zohan?  Ricky Gervais in Ghost Town?  Adrien Brody in Cadillac Records? Javier Bardem for his incredible performance in Vicky Cristina Barcelona?  I'd put money on a DOWNEY JR. win here, although it's gonna turn out to be a very good year for Brolin (whose supporting nod for Milk looks solid).

More updates to come, if you like this....

D.

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